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Increasing synchronicity of global extreme fire weather

  • Cong Yin
  • , John T. Abatzoglou
  • , Matthew W. Jones
  • , Alison C. Cullen
  • , Mojtaba Sadegh
  • , Juanle Wang
  • , Yangxiaoyue Liu
  • University of California Merced
  • CAS - Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research
  • University of East Anglia
  • University of Washington

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

Concurrent extreme fire weather creates favorable conditions for widespread large fires, which can complicate the coordination of fire suppression resources and degrade regional air quality. Here, we examine the patterns and trends of intra- and interregional synchronous fire weather (SFW) and explore their links to climate variability and air quality impacts. We find climatologically elevated intraregional SFW in boreal regions, as well as interregional synchronicity among northern temperate and boreal regions. Significant increases in SFW occurred during 1979 to 2024, with more than a twofold increase observed in most regions. We estimate that over half of the observed increase is attributable to anthropogenic climate change. Internal modes of climate variability strongly influence SFW in several regions, including Equatorial Asia, which experiences 43 additional intraregional SFW days during El Niño years. Furthermore, SFW is strongly correlated with regional fire-sourced PM2.5 in multiple regions globally. These findings highlight the growing challenges posed by SFW for firefighting coordination and human health.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbereadx8813
Number of pages10
JournalScience Advances
Volume12
Issue number8
Early online date18 Feb 2026
DOIs
StatePublished - Feb 2026

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