The impact of monetary policy shocks — Do not rule out central bank information effects or economic news

Sebastian Laumer, Italo Morais Santos

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This paper reassesses the impact of monetary policy and central bank information shocks while accounting for the influence of economic news. We regress a set of monetary policy surprises on a measure of economic news and incorporate these new instruments into an SVAR model. Furthermore, we distinguish between the two shocks via sign restrictions on the instruments’ impulse response functions. Our findings indicate significantly stronger and more enduring economic effects for monetary policy shocks, while the economic effects of central bank information shocks are weaker, if not vanish entirely. Nevertheless, persistent financial effects prevent us from completely dismissing the existence of central bank information effects. Consequently, it is important to account for both the effects of central bank information shocks and economic news in monetary policy settings.

Original languageEnglish
Article number111634
JournalEconomics Letters
Volume237
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 2024

Keywords

  • Central bank information channel
  • Economic news
  • Monetary policy

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