Two-Stage Predictive Modeling for Identifying At-Risk Students

Brett E. Shelton, Juan Yang, Jui Long Hung, Xu Du

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

6 Scopus citations

Abstract

This study proposes an analytic approach which combines two predictive models (the predictive model of successful students and the predictive model of at-risk students) to enhance prediction performance for use under the constraints of limited data collection. A case study was conducted to examine the effects of the model combination approach. Eight variables were collected from a data warehouse and the Learning Management System. The best model was selected based on the lowest misclassification rate in the validation dataset. The confusion matrix compares the model’s performance with the following parameters: accuracy, misclassification, and sensitivity. The results show the new combination approach can capture more at-risk students than the singular predictive model, and is only suitable for the ensemble predictive algorithms.

Original languageAmerican English
Title of host publicationInnovative Technologies and Learning: First International Conference, ICITL 2018, Portoroz, Slovenia, August 27–30, 2018, Proceedings
EditorsLin Lin, Ting-Ting Wu, Yueh-Min Huang, Yueh-Min Huang, Andreja Istenic Starcic, Rustam Shadieva
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages578-583
Number of pages6
ISBN (Print)9783319997360
DOIs
StatePublished - 2018
Event1st International Conference on Innovative Technologies and Learning, ICITL 2018 - Portoroz, Slovenia
Duration: 27 Aug 201830 Aug 2018

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume11003 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference1st International Conference on Innovative Technologies and Learning, ICITL 2018
Country/TerritorySlovenia
CityPortoroz
Period27/08/1830/08/18

Keywords

  • Academic at-risk factors
  • Academic success factors
  • Ensemble model
  • Learning analytics

EGS Disciplines

  • Instructional Media Design

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Two-Stage Predictive Modeling for Identifying At-Risk Students'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this